Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.408368 4.764259 5.147650 5.593514 6.100510 6.662365 7.336693
2025-04-06 3.743387 4.217721 4.763002 5.444334 6.284714 7.303767 8.659570
2025-04-13 3.338389 3.864055 4.494770 5.322617 6.404991 7.809638 9.839171
2025-04-20 3.072215 3.629866 4.321513 5.265675 6.560870 8.342414 11.115290
2025-04-27 2.937018 3.536691 4.303867 5.391274 6.955407 9.238957 13.089065
2025-05-04 2.824199 3.457157 4.289150 5.508766 7.341268 10.172961 15.345615
2025-05-11 2.683460 3.326725 4.190272 5.490362 7.514226 10.794220 17.223082
2025-05-18 2.553352 3.199726 4.083273 5.444751 7.632027 11.334704 19.096603
2025-05-25 2.404676 3.036947 3.912634 5.285270 7.543068 11.494767 20.233177
2025-06-01 2.286201 2.909102 3.782876 5.175687 7.521064 11.767544 21.699808
2025-06-08 2.212529 2.839984 3.733314 5.185741 7.701191 12.448612 24.375088
2025-06-15 2.164877 2.804895 3.730828 5.269160 8.017998 13.457956 28.346958
2025-06-22 2.055803 2.679080 3.589863 5.123828 7.920389 13.629964 30.203652
2025-06-29 1.958564 2.566978 3.464874 4.997848 7.849701 13.861642 32.442797
2025-07-06 1.874067 2.469579 3.356751 4.891336 7.802870 14.138515 35.027079
2025-07-13 1.809022 2.398111 3.284886 4.841263 7.860335 14.674336 38.953658
2025-07-20 1.783551 2.384868 3.303872 4.951789 8.256450 16.146840 48.078897
2025-07-27 1.757980 2.369870 3.318546 5.055027 8.652348 17.744813 60.058223
2025-08-03 1.710645 2.318825 3.271026 5.038866 8.785586 18.653167 69.850866
2025-08-10 1.661913 2.263496 3.213364 4.998797 8.859657 19.412442 80.214964
2025-08-17 1.597735 2.181456 3.107183 4.858523 8.686079 19.358521 84.598242
2025-08-24 1.545066 2.115927 3.026162 4.761981 8.605989 19.596846 92.208563
2025-08-31 1.513986 2.083645 3.000056 4.770845 8.779669 20.743081 111.788979